Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) held its first Express Entry draw of 2019 on January 10, 2019. The draw resulted in issuing 3,900 Invitations to Apply (ITAs), which is the draw-size trend seen in the last seven draws of 2018. Express Entry was introduced in 2015 to manage the pool of candidates for Canada’s three Federal High Skilled economic immigration categories.
The Canada Express Entry latest draw size is significant compared to the start of 2018, when 2,750 ITAs were issued in the first draw of that year. With more than 1,000 more candidates invited compared to same time in 2018, IRCC is well on track for another record Express Entry year. IRCC has a high-skilled immigration intake target of 81,400 for 2019, after breaking the record for annual Express Entry ITAs in 2018 with 89,800.
The minimum Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score rose to 449, 10 points higher than the previous Express Entry points draw held on December 19, a result of the three weeks that elapsed between draws. Longer periods between draws enable more candidates to enter the Express Entry pool or take steps to increase their existing scores before the Express Entry next draw date.
Under the Express Entry system, candidate profiles are assigned a score based on the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS), which awards points for factors including age, education, work experience and proficiency in English or French.
The highest-ranked candidates are then drawn from the pool through regular invitation rounds and issued an invitation to apply (ITA) for Canadian permanent residence.
IRCC used its tie-break rule in the January 10 draw. The time stamp used was January 2, 2019, at 11:40:53 UTC. This means that all candidates with a CRS score above 449, as well as those candidates with scores of 449 who entered their profile in the Express Entry pool before the selected date and time, received an ITA in this invitation round.
Invited candidates have 60 days from the date of receiving their ITA to submit a complete Canadian permanent residence application to the Government of Canada.
Canada Express Entry next draw prediction
Under Canada’s new multi-year immigration levels plan, the federal government plans to welcome more Federal High Skilled candidates as permanent residents in 2019 than it did last year. Canada has an admissions target of 81,400 through these programs for 2019, compared to 74,900 last year. Considering this target and the fact that IRCC has now issued 3,900 ITAs in the last eight draws, we expect that future ITAs will not fall materially below 3,900 in each draw.